Brentford FC
vs Fulham FC

Premier LeagueMatchday 33Saturday, 18 April 2026 · 12:30 GMT

Win Probability

25%

Brentford FC Win

25%

Draw

50%

Fulham FC Win

infoMid Confidence

form_consistency: 0.192 · h2h_availability: 0.2 · archetype_penalty: 0 · data_completeness: 1

Expected Goals (xG)

Brentford FC1.032
Fulham FC1.579
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The predicted outcome of this match is a Fulham FC win, with the most compelling evidence being their significantly higher win probability of 50.0%. This substantial advantage in likelihood of victory suggests that Fulham FC has a strong chance of emerging victorious. Furthermore, the expected goals (xG) gap also supports this prediction, with Fulham FC having a higher xG of 1.579 compared to Brentford FC's 1.032, indicating that Fulham FC is expected to create more scoring opportunities.

Despite the predicted outcome favoring Fulham FC, one data point that introduces some uncertainty is Brentford FC's home average scored of 1.333, which is higher than Fulham FC's away average scored of 1.0. This suggests that Brentford FC has been somewhat effective in scoring goals at home, which could potentially pose a challenge to Fulham FC's chances of winning. However, Fulham FC's overall win probability and xG advantage still suggest that they are likely to come out on top in this match.

Brentford FC (Home)

LWDDDD
Avg scored (home)1.33
Avg conceded (home)2.00
Avg scored (away)1.33
Avg conceded (away)1.00

Fulham FC (Away)

WWLDWL
Avg scored (home)1.67
Avg conceded (home)1.00
Avg scored (away)1.00
Avg conceded (away)1.00

Head to Head

Fulham FC3120 Sept 25

Predictions computed using a Poisson distribution model. Data updated nightly. Not gambling advice.

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