West Ham United FC
vs Arsenal FC
Win Probability
West Ham United FC Win
Draw
Arsenal FC Win
form_consistency: 0.134 · h2h_availability: 0.2 · archetype_penalty: 0 · data_completeness: 1
Expected Goals (xG)
The predicted outcome of this match is a West Ham United FC win, with the most compelling evidence being the significant gap in expected goals, where West Ham United FC has an xG of 1.29 compared to Arsenal FC's 0.614. This disparity suggests that West Ham United FC is likely to create more scoring opportunities, which, combined with their win probability of 53.0%, indicates a strong likelihood of them emerging victorious.
Despite this prediction, one data point that introduces some uncertainty is Arsenal FC's impressive away average of 2.333 goals scored. This suggests that Arsenal FC has the capability to score multiple goals on the road, which could potentially disrupt West Ham United FC's chances of winning if they can capitalize on their scoring opportunities. However, West Ham United FC's home average of 0.333 goals conceded indicates a strong defensive record, which will likely pose a challenge to Arsenal FC's attacking prowess.
West Ham United FC (Home)
Arsenal FC (Away)
Head to Head
Predictions computed using a Poisson distribution model. Data updated nightly. Not gambling advice.