Arsenal FC
vs Fulham FC

Premier LeagueMatchday 35Saturday, 2 May 2026 · 17:30 GMT

Win Probability

48%

Arsenal FC Win

29%

Draw

23%

Fulham FC Win

infoMid Confidence

form_consistency: 0.09 · h2h_availability: 0.2 · archetype_penalty: 0 · data_completeness: 1

Expected Goals (xG)

Arsenal FC1.29
Fulham FC0.789
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The predicted outcome of this match is an Arsenal FC win at home. A key statistic supporting this prediction is the win probability, where Arsenal FC has a 48.3% chance of winning, significantly higher than Fulham FC's 22.8%. This substantial gap in win probability suggests that Arsenal FC has a considerable advantage going into the match.

Despite this predicted outcome, one data point that introduces some uncertainty is Fulham FC's ability to score on the road, as indicated by their away average scored of 1.0 goal per match. This is comparable to Arsenal FC's home average conceded of 1.0 goal per match, suggesting that Fulham FC may be able to find the back of the net, potentially making the match more competitive than the predicted outcome would suggest.

Arsenal FC (Home)

DWWWWL
Avg scored (home)1.67
Avg conceded (home)1.00
Avg scored (away)2.33
Avg conceded (away)1.00

Fulham FC (Away)

WWLDWL
Avg scored (home)1.67
Avg conceded (home)1.00
Avg scored (away)1.00
Avg conceded (away)1.00

Head to Head

Fulham FC0118 Oct 25

Predictions computed using a Poisson distribution model. Data updated nightly. Not gambling advice.

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