Brighton & Hove Albion FC
vs Wolverhampton Wanderers FC

Premier LeagueMatchday 36Saturday, 9 May 2026 · 15:00 GMT

Win Probability

79%

Brighton & Hove Albion FC Win

15%

Draw

6%

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC Win

infoMid Confidence

form_consistency: 0.145 · h2h_availability: 0.2 · archetype_penalty: 0 · data_completeness: 1

Expected Goals (xG)

Brighton & Hove Albion FC2.409
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC0.526
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The predicted outcome of this match is a Brighton & Hove Albion FC win, with the key statistic supporting this being the significant difference in expected goals, where Brighton & Hove Albion FC have an xG of 2.409 compared to Wolverhampton Wanderers FC's 0.526. This substantial gap in expected goals, combined with Brighton & Hove Albion FC's high win probability of 79.0%, strongly suggests that they are likely to come out on top in this encounter.

Despite the strong predicted outcome in favor of Brighton & Hove Albion FC, one data point that could introduce some uncertainty is Wolverhampton Wanderers FC's ability to score at home, where they have an average of 2.0 goals scored. Although this is not directly relevant to their away performance, it indicates that they have the capability to score goals, which could potentially cause problems for Brighton & Hove Albion FC if they can adapt this form to their away games, potentially affecting the predicted outcome.

Brighton & Hove Albion FC (Home)

WWLWWW
Avg scored (home)1.33
Avg conceded (home)1.00
Avg scored (away)1.67
Avg conceded (away)0.00

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (Away)

DLWWDL
Avg scored (home)2.00
Avg conceded (home)1.00
Avg scored (away)0.67
Avg conceded (away)2.33

Head to Head

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC115 Oct 25

Predictions computed using a Poisson distribution model. Data updated nightly. Not gambling advice.

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