Newcastle United FC
vs Sunderland AFC
PLMatchday 14Saturday, 5 December 2026 · 15:00 GMT
Win Probability
47%
Newcastle United FC Win
20%
Draw
33%
Sunderland AFC Win
infoSlight Edge
Derbyform_consistency: 0.061 · h2h_availability: 0.4 · archetype_penalty: 0.2 · data_completeness: 1
Expected Goals (xG)
Newcastle United FC2.638
Sunderland AFC2.236
Scoreline Probabilities
| Newcastle United FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sunderland AFC | 0 | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 1.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | |
Most likely: 2–2 (7.2%)
Newcastle United FC (Home)
LLWDWL
Avg scored (home)2.53
Avg conceded (home)1.23
Avg scored (away)0.32
Avg conceded (away)1.45
Sunderland AFC (Away)
LLDDWW
Avg scored (home)0.89
Avg conceded (home)1.61
Avg scored (away)2.36
Avg conceded (away)1.70
Head to Head
Sunderland AFC1 – 014 Dec 25
Newcastle United FC1 – 222 Mar 26