Newcastle United FC
vs Sunderland AFC
PLMatchday 14Saturday, 5 December 2026 · 15:00 GMT
Win Probability
35%
Newcastle United FC Win
23%
Draw
42%
Sunderland AFC Win
infoSlight Edge
Derbyform_consistency: 0.215 · h2h_availability: 0.4 · archetype_penalty: 0.2 · data_completeness: 1
Expected Goals (xG)
Newcastle United FC1.837
Sunderland AFC2.006
Scoreline Probabilities
| Newcastle United FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sunderland AFC | 0 | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 3.4% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Most likely: 1–1 (9.2%)
Newcastle United FC (Home)
DWLDWD
Avg scored (home)2.23
Avg conceded (home)1.77
Avg scored (away)1.12
Avg conceded (away)0.88
Sunderland AFC (Away)
DWWLWD
Avg scored (home)1.09
Avg conceded (home)0.32
Avg scored (away)1.47
Avg conceded (away)1.32
Head to Head
Sunderland AFC1 – 014 Dec 25
Newcastle United FC1 – 222 Mar 26