Chelsea FC
vs Liverpool FC

PLMatchday 14Saturday, 5 December 2026 · 12:30 GMT

Win Probability

17%

Chelsea FC Win

22%

Draw

62%

Liverpool FC Win

infoSlight Edge

form_consistency: 0.1 · h2h_availability: 0.4 · archetype_penalty: 0 · data_completeness: 1

Expected Goals (xG)

Chelsea FC1.14
Liverpool FC2.288

Scoreline Probabilities

Chelsea FC
012345
Liverpool FC04.5%2.7%2.2%0.8%0.2%0.1%
16.5%9.9%5.0%1.9%0.5%0.1%
28.8%10.0%5.7%2.2%0.6%0.1%
36.7%7.6%4.3%1.6%0.5%0.1%
43.8%4.4%2.5%0.9%0.3%0.1%
51.7%2.0%1.1%0.4%0.1%0.0%

Most likely: 1–2 (10.0%)

Chelsea FC (Home)

WLDLWW
Avg scored (home)3.80
Avg conceded (home)1.79
Avg scored (away)1.12
Avg conceded (away)1.43

Liverpool FC (Away)

DWDWLW
Avg scored (home)0.47
Avg conceded (home)1.80
Avg scored (away)1.68
Avg conceded (away)0.45

Head to Head

Chelsea FC2 – 14 Oct 25
Liverpool FC1 – 19 May 26
Home
Post-Mortems
Accuracy