Chelsea FC
vs Liverpool FC
PLMatchday 14Saturday, 5 December 2026 · 15:00 GMT
Win Probability
29%
Chelsea FC Win
17%
Draw
54%
Liverpool FC Win
infoSlight Edge
form_consistency: 0.192 · h2h_availability: 0.4 · archetype_penalty: 0 · data_completeness: 1
Expected Goals (xG)
Chelsea FC2.703
Liverpool FC3.637
Scoreline Probabilities
| Chelsea FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Liverpool FC | 0 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 0.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | |
Most likely: 2–3 (6.5%)
Chelsea FC (Home)
LDWLWW
Avg scored (home)2.76
Avg conceded (home)2.40
Avg scored (away)1.81
Avg conceded (away)1.75
Liverpool FC (Away)
DLDDDW
Avg scored (home)1.45
Avg conceded (home)1.45
Avg scored (away)2.00
Avg conceded (away)1.57
Head to Head
Chelsea FC2 – 14 Oct 25
Liverpool FC1 – 19 May 26