Manchester City FC
vs Arsenal FC
PLMatchday 23Saturday, 30 January 2027 · 15:00 GMT
Win Probability
41%
Manchester City FC Win
27%
Draw
32%
Arsenal FC Win
verifiedStrong Edge
form_consistency: 0.592 · h2h_availability: 0.4 · archetype_penalty: 0 · data_completeness: 1
Expected Goals (xG)
Manchester City FC1.598
Arsenal FC1.402
Scoreline Probabilities
| Manchester City FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arsenal FC | 0 | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 5.6% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Most likely: 1–1 (12.7%)
Manchester City FC (Home)
WWWWWW
Avg scored (home)3.18
Avg conceded (home)1.86
Avg scored (away)2.59
Avg conceded (away)0.23
Arsenal FC (Away)
WWWLWW
Avg scored (home)2.00
Avg conceded (home)1.00
Avg scored (away)0.96
Avg conceded (away)0.78
Head to Head
Arsenal FC1 – 121 Sept 25
Manchester City FC2 – 119 Apr 26