Liverpool FC
vs Crystal Palace FC

Premier LeagueMatchday 34Saturday, 25 April 2026 · 15:00 GMT

Win Probability

67%

Liverpool FC Win

16%

Draw

17%

Crystal Palace FC Win

infoMid Confidence

form_consistency: 0.017 · h2h_availability: 0.2 · archetype_penalty: 0 · data_completeness: 1

Expected Goals (xG)

Liverpool FC3.097
Crystal Palace FC1.579
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The predicted outcome of this match is a Liverpool FC win at home. A key statistic supporting this prediction is the significant difference in expected goals, with Liverpool FC having an xG of 3.097 compared to Crystal Palace FC's 1.579. This gap of 1.518 in expected goals suggests that Liverpool FC is likely to create more scoring opportunities, increasing their chances of winning.

Despite this prediction, one data point that introduces some uncertainty is Crystal Palace FC's away average scored, which stands at 2.0. This suggests that Crystal Palace FC has been capable of scoring goals when playing away, which could potentially challenge Liverpool FC's defense. However, considering Liverpool FC's home average conceded is 1.0, it seems they have a strong defensive record at home, which should help mitigate the threat posed by Crystal Palace FC's away scoring ability.

Liverpool FC (Home)

WWLDLW
Avg scored (home)2.67
Avg conceded (home)1.00
Avg scored (away)1.00
Avg conceded (away)1.33

Crystal Palace FC (Away)

LWLWDW
Avg scored (home)1.25
Avg conceded (home)1.00
Avg scored (away)2.00
Avg conceded (away)1.50

Head to Head

Crystal Palace FC2127 Sept 25

Predictions computed using a Poisson distribution model. Data updated nightly. Not gambling advice.

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