Everton FC
vs Chelsea FC

PLMatchday 7Saturday, 17 October 2026 · 15:00 GMT

Win Probability

49%

Everton FC Win

23%

Draw

28%

Chelsea FC Win

verifiedStrong Edge

form_consistency: 0.323 · h2h_availability: 0.4 · archetype_penalty: 0 · data_completeness: 1

Expected Goals (xG)

Everton FC2.102
Chelsea FC1.562

Scoreline Probabilities

Everton FC
012345
Chelsea FC03.8%4.4%5.8%4.1%2.1%0.9%
13.0%9.8%9.1%6.4%3.3%1.4%
23.2%6.7%7.1%5.0%2.6%1.1%
31.7%3.5%3.7%2.6%1.4%0.6%
40.7%1.4%1.4%1.0%0.5%0.2%
50.2%0.4%0.5%0.3%0.2%0.1%

Most likely: 11 (9.8%)

Everton FC (Home)

LLDDLL
Avg scored (home)1.64
Avg conceded (home)2.77
Avg scored (away)0.88
Avg conceded (away)1.55

Chelsea FC (Away)

LLLDWL
Avg scored (home)1.21
Avg conceded (home)1.64
Avg scored (away)0.77
Avg conceded (away)1.91

Head to Head

Chelsea FC2013 Dec 25
Everton FC3021 Mar 26
Home
Post-Mortems
Accuracy