Liverpool FC
vs Manchester City FC

PLMatchday 6Sunday, 11 October 2026 · 16:30 GMT

Win Probability

9%

Liverpool FC Win

14%

Draw

77%

Manchester City FC Win

infoSlight Edge

form_consistency: 0.265 · h2h_availability: 0.4 · archetype_penalty: 0 · data_completeness: 1

Expected Goals (xG)

Liverpool FC1.051
Manchester City FC3.141

Scoreline Probabilities

Liverpool FC
012345
Manchester City FC02.4%1.0%0.9%0.3%0.1%0.0%
14.6%6.3%2.9%1.0%0.3%0.1%
28.3%8.7%4.6%1.6%0.4%0.1%
38.7%9.1%4.8%1.7%0.4%0.1%
46.8%7.2%3.8%1.3%0.3%0.1%
54.3%4.5%2.4%0.8%0.2%0.0%

Most likely: 13 (9.1%)

Liverpool FC (Home)

DLDDDW
Avg scored (home)1.45
Avg conceded (home)1.45
Avg scored (away)2.00
Avg conceded (away)1.57

Manchester City FC (Away)

WDLWWW
Avg scored (home)1.58
Avg conceded (home)0.70
Avg scored (away)2.86
Avg conceded (away)1.00

Head to Head

Manchester City FC309 Nov 25
Liverpool FC128 Feb 26
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