Arsenal FC
vs Manchester City FC
PLMatchday 12Saturday, 28 November 2026 · 15:00 GMT
Win Probability
21%
Arsenal FC Win
20%
Draw
59%
Manchester City FC Win
verifiedStrong Edge
form_consistency: 0.582 · h2h_availability: 0.4 · archetype_penalty: 0 · data_completeness: 1
Expected Goals (xG)
Arsenal FC1.537
Manchester City FC2.624
Scoreline Probabilities
| Arsenal FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Manchester City FC | 0 | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 3.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 5.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
Most likely: 1–2 (8.7%)
Arsenal FC (Home)
WWWWWW
Avg scored (home)2.36
Avg conceded (home)0.00
Avg scored (away)1.32
Avg conceded (away)0.32
Manchester City FC (Away)
WDLWWW
Avg scored (home)1.58
Avg conceded (home)0.70
Avg scored (away)2.86
Avg conceded (away)1.00
Head to Head
Arsenal FC1 – 121 Sept 25
Manchester City FC2 – 119 Apr 26