Manchester United FC
vs Brentford FC

Premier LeagueMatchday 34Monday, 27 April 2026 · 20:00 GMT

Win Probability

41%

Manchester United FC Win

25%

Draw

35%

Brentford FC Win

infoMid Confidence

form_consistency: 0.192 · h2h_availability: 0.2 · archetype_penalty: 0 · data_completeness: 1

Expected Goals (xG)

Manchester United FC1.548
Brentford FC1.404
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The predicted outcome of this match is a Manchester United FC win at home. A key statistic supporting this outcome is the win probability, where Manchester United FC has a 40.9% chance of winning, which is the highest among the three possible results. This suggests that they have a slight edge over Brentford FC, which has a 34.6% chance of winning.

Despite the predicted win for Manchester United FC, there is a data point that introduces some uncertainty. The expected goals (xG) for both teams are relatively close, with Manchester United FC having an xG of 1.548 and Brentford FC having an xG of 1.404. This 0.144 difference is not overly significant, indicating that Brentford FC could potentially capitalize on their scoring opportunities and challenge Manchester United FC's predicted win.

Manchester United FC (Home)

WWLWDL
Avg scored (home)2.00
Avg conceded (home)1.33
Avg scored (away)1.33
Avg conceded (away)1.33

Brentford FC (Away)

LWDDDD
Avg scored (home)1.33
Avg conceded (home)2.00
Avg scored (away)1.33
Avg conceded (away)1.00

Head to Head

Brentford FC3127 Sept 25

Predictions computed using a Poisson distribution model. Data updated nightly. Not gambling advice.

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