Newcastle United FC
vs West Ham United FC
Win Probability
Newcastle United FC Win
Draw
West Ham United FC Win
form_consistency: 0.053 · h2h_availability: 0.2 · archetype_penalty: 0 · data_completeness: 1
Expected Goals (xG)
The predicted outcome of this match is a Newcastle United FC win at home. A key statistic that supports this outcome is the significant gap in expected goals, with Newcastle United FC having an xG of 3.011 compared to West Ham United FC's 1.579. This difference suggests that Newcastle United FC are likely to create more scoring opportunities, which in turn increases their chances of winning. Furthermore, Newcastle United FC have a win probability of 65.5%, indicating a strong likelihood of them emerging victorious.
Despite the favorable predictions for Newcastle United FC, one data point that introduces some uncertainty is West Ham United FC's ability to score on the road, with an average of 1.0 goal scored per away match. This could potentially pose a challenge for Newcastle United FC, especially considering their average of 2.0 goals conceded per home match. However, given the overall statistics, Newcastle United FC's home advantage and higher expected goals still suggest they are in a strong position to secure a win.
Newcastle United FC (Home)
West Ham United FC (Away)
Head to Head
Predictions computed using a Poisson distribution model. Data updated nightly. Not gambling advice.