Fulham FC
vs AFC Bournemouth

Premier LeagueMatchday 36Saturday, 9 May 2026 · 15:00 GMT

Win Probability

23%

Fulham FC Win

48%

Draw

29%

AFC Bournemouth Win

infoMid Confidence

form_consistency: 0.304 · h2h_availability: 0.2 · archetype_penalty: 0 · data_completeness: 1

Expected Goals (xG)

Fulham FC0.43
AFC Bournemouth0.526
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The predicted outcome of the match between Fulham FC and AFC Bournemouth is a draw. A key statistic that supports this prediction is the draw win probability of 47.6%, which is significantly higher than the win probabilities of both Fulham FC and AFC Bournemouth, at 22.9% and 29.5% respectively. This suggests that the match is likely to be closely contested, with neither team having a significant advantage over the other.

Despite the predicted draw, one data point that introduces some uncertainty is the expected goals (xG) gap between the two teams, with AFC Bournemouth having a slightly higher xG of 0.526 compared to Fulham FC's 0.43. This could potentially indicate that AFC Bournemouth may have a slight edge in terms of scoring opportunities, which could impact the outcome of the match. However, given the overall win probabilities and the closeness of the xG values, a draw remains the most likely outcome.

Fulham FC (Home)

WWLDWL
Avg scored (home)1.67
Avg conceded (home)1.00
Avg scored (away)1.00
Avg conceded (away)1.00

AFC Bournemouth (Away)

DDDDDW
Avg scored (home)1.00
Avg conceded (home)1.00
Avg scored (away)0.67
Avg conceded (away)0.33

Head to Head

AFC Bournemouth313 Oct 25

Predictions computed using a Poisson distribution model. Data updated nightly. Not gambling advice.

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