AFC Bournemouth
vs Crystal Palace FC

Premier LeagueMatchday 35Saturday, 2 May 2026 · 15:00 GMT

Win Probability

28%

AFC Bournemouth Win

25%

Draw

47%

Crystal Palace FC Win

infoMid Confidence

form_consistency: 0.304 · h2h_availability: 0.2 · archetype_penalty: 0 · data_completeness: 1

Expected Goals (xG)

AFC Bournemouth1.161
Crystal Palace FC1.579
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The predicted outcome of this match is a Crystal Palace FC win, with the away team having a 47.0% chance of emerging victorious. A key statistic that supports this prediction is the expected goals (xG) gap, where Crystal Palace FC has a higher xG of 1.579 compared to AFC Bournemouth's 1.161, indicating a stronger attacking potential for the away team.

Despite the favorable prediction for Crystal Palace FC, one data point that introduces some uncertainty is AFC Bournemouth's recent form, which includes a win in their last match, suggesting they may be gaining momentum. Additionally, their home average of 1.0 goal scored per match is comparable to Crystal Palace FC's away average of 2.0 goals scored per match, but considering the away average is based on a different set of matches, it's notable that AFC Bournemouth's home defense has been relatively solid, conceding an average of 1.0 goal per match, which could potentially pose a challenge for Crystal Palace FC's attack.

AFC Bournemouth (Home)

DDDDDW
Avg scored (home)1.00
Avg conceded (home)1.00
Avg scored (away)0.67
Avg conceded (away)0.33

Crystal Palace FC (Away)

LWLWDW
Avg scored (home)1.25
Avg conceded (home)1.00
Avg scored (away)2.00
Avg conceded (away)1.50

Head to Head

Crystal Palace FC3318 Oct 25

Predictions computed using a Poisson distribution model. Data updated nightly. Not gambling advice.

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