Brighton & Hove Albion FC
vs Aston Villa FC
Win Probability
Brighton & Hove Albion FC Win
Draw
Aston Villa FC Win
form_consistency: 0.017 · h2h_availability: 0.4 · archetype_penalty: 0.2 · data_completeness: 1
Expected Goals (xG)
Scoreline Probabilities
| Brighton & Hove Albion FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aston Villa FC | 0 | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 5.6% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Most likely: 1–1 (11.9%)
Aston Villa FC's away form has been impressive, with a higher average score and a significantly lower average conceded compared to their opponents in recent matches. They have an average of 1.535 goals scored and 1.322 conceded on the road, a striking difference from their hosts, Brighton & Hove Albion FC, who have allowed an average of 1.337 goals at home. This suggests that Aston Villa FC's attacking prowess and defensive solidity will be difficult for Brighton & Hove Albion FC to counter, even on their own turf.
While Brighton & Hove Albion FC's home form has been relatively strong, with an average of 1.663 goals scored and 1.337 conceded, the xG gap is telling. Aston Villa FC's expected goals (1.709) are higher than their hosts' (1.497), indicating a slight advantage in possession and quality of chances. However, Brighton & Hove Albion FC's recent form has been inconsistent, with a run of losses and draws that may affect their confidence and cohesion. This inconsistency could be a deciding factor, as Aston Villa FC's momentum and scoring power may prove too much for their hosts to handle.