Chelsea FC
vs Arsenal FC

PLMatchday 29Saturday, 13 March 2027 · 15:00 GMT

Win Probability

49%

Chelsea FC Win

25%

Draw

26%

Arsenal FC Win

infoSlight Edge
Derby

form_consistency: 0.1 · h2h_availability: 0.6 · archetype_penalty: 0.2 · data_completeness: 1

Expected Goals (xG)

Chelsea FC1.899
Arsenal FC1.353

Scoreline Probabilities

Chelsea FC
012345
Arsenal FC05.2%6.2%7.1%4.5%2.1%0.8%
14.0%11.4%9.6%6.1%2.9%1.1%
23.6%6.8%6.5%4.1%2.0%0.7%
31.6%3.1%2.9%1.9%0.9%0.3%
40.5%1.0%1.0%0.6%0.3%0.1%
50.1%0.3%0.3%0.2%0.1%0.0%

Most likely: 1–1 (11.4%)

Chelsea FC (Home)

WLDLWW
Avg scored (home)3.80
Avg conceded (home)1.79
Avg scored (away)1.12
Avg conceded (away)1.43

Arsenal FC (Away)

WWWLWW
Avg scored (home)2.00
Avg conceded (home)1.00
Avg scored (away)0.96
Avg conceded (away)0.78

Head to Head

Chelsea FC1 – 130 Nov 25
Arsenal FC2 – 11 Mar 26
Arsenal FC2 – 16 Sept 26
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