Leeds United FC
vs Wolverhampton Wanderers FC

Premier LeagueMatchday 33Saturday, 18 April 2026 · 15:00 GMT

Win Probability

86%

Leeds United FC Win

11%

Draw

3%

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC Win

infoMid Confidence

form_consistency: 0.176 · h2h_availability: 0.2 · archetype_penalty: 0 · data_completeness: 1

Expected Goals (xG)

Leeds United FC2.71
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC0.351
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The predicted outcome of this match is a Leeds United FC win, with the home team having an 86.4% chance of emerging victorious. A key statistic that supports this prediction is the significant gap in expected goals, with Leeds United FC having an xG of 2.71 compared to Wolverhampton Wanderers FC's 0.351. This substantial difference in expected goals suggests that Leeds United FC are likely to create more scoring opportunities and ultimately win the match.

Despite the strong prediction in favor of Leeds United FC, one data point that introduces some uncertainty is Wolverhampton Wanderers FC's recent away performance, where they have averaged 0.667 goals scored per match. While this is still a relatively low average, it indicates that they are capable of scoring on the road, which could potentially pose a challenge for Leeds United FC's defense, especially considering that they have averaged 0.667 goals conceded per match at home. However, given the overall statistics, Leeds United FC's advantage in expected goals and high win probability still suggest they are likely to come out on top.

Leeds United FC (Home)

DLLDDW
Avg scored (home)0.00
Avg conceded (home)0.67
Avg scored (away)1.00
Avg conceded (away)0.67

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (Away)

DLWWDL
Avg scored (home)2.00
Avg conceded (home)1.00
Avg scored (away)0.67
Avg conceded (away)2.33

Head to Head

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC1320 Sept 25

Predictions computed using a Poisson distribution model. Data updated nightly. Not gambling advice.

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