Crystal Palace FC
vs Everton FC

Premier LeagueMatchday 36Saturday, 9 May 2026 · 15:00 GMT

Win Probability

52%

Crystal Palace FC Win

22%

Draw

26%

Everton FC Win

infoMid Confidence

form_consistency: 0.017 · h2h_availability: 0.2 · archetype_penalty: 0 · data_completeness: 1

Expected Goals (xG)

Crystal Palace FC1.935
Everton FC1.316
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The predicted outcome of this match is a Crystal Palace FC win at home. A key statistic supporting this prediction is the win probability, with Crystal Palace FC having a 51.7% chance of winning, significantly higher than Everton FC's 26.1% chance. This probability gap suggests that Crystal Palace FC has a considerable advantage going into the match.

Despite this predicted outcome, there is a data point that introduces some uncertainty: the away average conceded by Everton FC is 2.0, which is higher than Crystal Palace FC's home average conceded of 1.0. However, Crystal Palace FC's home average scored is 1.25, which is lower than Everton FC's away average scored of 1.667, but their expected goals (xG) of 1.935 is higher than Everton FC's 1.316, indicating Crystal Palace FC's potential to capitalize on scoring opportunities and secure a win.

Crystal Palace FC (Home)

LWLWDW
Avg scored (home)1.25
Avg conceded (home)1.00
Avg scored (away)2.00
Avg conceded (away)1.50

Everton FC (Away)

LWWLWD
Avg scored (home)1.67
Avg conceded (home)0.33
Avg scored (away)1.67
Avg conceded (away)2.00

Head to Head

Everton FC215 Oct 25

Predictions computed using a Poisson distribution model. Data updated nightly. Not gambling advice.

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