Newcastle United FC
vs Manchester City FC

PLMatchday 17Saturday, 26 December 2026 · 15:00 GMT

Win Probability

11%

Newcastle United FC Win

13%

Draw

76%

Manchester City FC Win

infoSlight Edge

form_consistency: 0.205 · h2h_availability: 0.4 · archetype_penalty: 0 · data_completeness: 1

Expected Goals (xG)

Newcastle United FC1.514
Manchester City FC3.818

Scoreline Probabilities

Newcastle United FC
012345
Manchester City FC01.0%0.5%0.7%0.3%0.1%0.0%
11.8%3.9%2.6%1.3%0.5%0.2%
24.4%6.6%5.0%2.5%1.0%0.3%
35.5%8.4%6.4%3.2%1.2%0.4%
45.3%8.0%6.1%3.1%1.2%0.4%
54.0%6.1%4.6%2.3%0.9%0.3%

Most likely: 13 (8.4%)

Newcastle United FC (Home)

DWLDWD
Avg scored (home)2.23
Avg conceded (home)1.77
Avg scored (away)1.12
Avg conceded (away)0.88

Manchester City FC (Away)

WDLWWW
Avg scored (home)1.58
Avg conceded (home)0.70
Avg scored (away)2.86
Avg conceded (away)1.00

Head to Head

Newcastle United FC2122 Nov 25
Manchester City FC2121 Feb 26
Home
Post-Mortems
Accuracy