Newcastle United FC
vs Aston Villa FC

PLMatchday 7Saturday, 17 October 2026 · 17:30 GMT

Win Probability

59%

Newcastle United FC Win

23%

Draw

18%

Aston Villa FC Win

infoSlight Edge

form_consistency: 0.176 · h2h_availability: 0.4 · archetype_penalty: 0 · data_completeness: 1

Expected Goals (xG)

Newcastle United FC2.075
Aston Villa FC1.09

Scoreline Probabilities

Newcastle United FC
012345
Aston Villa FC05.6%7.7%9.3%6.4%3.3%1.4%
13.4%11.0%10.1%7.0%3.6%1.5%
22.6%5.3%5.5%3.8%2.0%0.8%
30.9%1.9%2.0%1.4%0.7%0.3%
40.3%0.5%0.5%0.4%0.2%0.1%
50.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%

Most likely: 11 (11.0%)

Newcastle United FC (Home)

DWLDWD
Avg scored (home)2.23
Avg conceded (home)1.77
Avg scored (away)1.12
Avg conceded (away)0.88

Aston Villa FC (Away)

DWWLLD
Avg scored (home)1.52
Avg conceded (home)1.38
Avg scored (away)0.76
Avg conceded (away)1.58

Head to Head

Aston Villa FC0016 Aug 25
Newcastle United FC0225 Jan 26
Home
Post-Mortems
Accuracy