Manchester United FC
vs Manchester City FC
PLMatchday 4Sunday, 13 September 2026 · 16:30 GMT
Win Probability
46%
Manchester United FC Win
21%
Draw
33%
Manchester City FC Win
infoSlight Edge
Early Seasonform_consistency: 0.388 · h2h_availability: 0.4 · archetype_penalty: 0.2 · data_completeness: 1
Expected Goals (xG)
Manchester United FC2.398
Manchester City FC2.012
Scoreline Probabilities
| Manchester United FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Manchester City FC | 0 | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 1.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
Most likely: 2–2 (7.5%)
Manchester United FC (Home)
WWWDWW
Avg scored (home)2.74
Avg conceded (home)1.74
Avg scored (away)1.59
Avg conceded (away)0.00
Manchester City FC (Away)
WDWWDL
Avg scored (home)2.14
Avg conceded (home)0.86
Avg scored (away)1.57
Avg conceded (away)1.33
Head to Head
Manchester City FC3 – 014 Sept 25
Manchester United FC2 – 017 Jan 26