Manchester United FC
vs Manchester City FC
PLMatchday 4Sunday, 13 September 2026 · 16:30 GMT
Win Probability
22%
Manchester United FC Win
16%
Draw
62%
Manchester City FC Win
infoSlight Edge
Early Seasonform_consistency: 0.163 · h2h_availability: 0.4 · archetype_penalty: 0.2 · data_completeness: 1
Expected Goals (xG)
Manchester United FC2.587
Manchester City FC4.207
Scoreline Probabilities
| Manchester United FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Manchester City FC | 0 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 0.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | |
Most likely: 2–4 (6.8%)
Manchester United FC (Home)
WDWWLW
Avg scored (home)3.97
Avg conceded (home)2.00
Avg scored (away)1.03
Avg conceded (away)0.81
Manchester City FC (Away)
WDLWWW
Avg scored (home)1.58
Avg conceded (home)0.70
Avg scored (away)2.86
Avg conceded (away)1.00
Head to Head
Manchester City FC3 – 014 Sept 25
Manchester United FC2 – 017 Jan 26