Nottingham Forest FC
vs Leeds United FC
Win Probability
Nottingham Forest FC Win
Draw
Leeds United FC Win
form_consistency: 0.184 · h2h_availability: 0.4 · archetype_penalty: 0.2 · data_completeness: 1
Expected Goals (xG)
Scoreline Probabilities
| Nottingham Forest FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leeds United FC | 0 | 6.2% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| 1 | 2.4% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.0% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Most likely: 2–0 (13.8%)
Nottingham Forest FC's dominance at home is evident in their impressive form, with a run of three consecutive wins and an average of 1.614 goals scored per match. Their home defence has been equally solid, conceding just 1 goal on average per match. This defensive solidity, coupled with their strong attacking display, suggests a high likelihood of a Nottingham Forest FC victory. Their expected goals (xG) of 2.322 indicate a strong attacking performance, further supporting this outcome.
The uncertainty in this match could come from Leeds United FC's ability to score away from home, as their average of 0.787 goals scored on the road is still a respectable figure. Additionally, their away form has seen them concede an average of 2.124 goals per match, which may create an opportunity for Nottingham Forest FC to capitalize on. However, given the significant xG gap and Nottingham Forest FC's home form, the probability of an away win for Leeds United FC remains low at 8.2%.