Manchester City FC
vs Manchester United FC

PLMatchday 30Saturday, 20 March 2027 · 15:00 GMT

Win Probability

53%

Manchester City FC Win

21%

Draw

26%

Manchester United FC Win

verifiedStrong Edge
Derby

form_consistency: 0.684 · h2h_availability: 0.6 · archetype_penalty: 0.2 · data_completeness: 1

Expected Goals (xG)

Manchester City FC2.456
Manchester United FC1.703

Scoreline Probabilities

Manchester City FC
012345
Manchester United FC02.5%3.1%4.9%4.0%2.5%1.2%
11.9%7.7%8.4%6.9%4.2%2.1%
22.4%5.8%7.2%5.9%3.6%1.8%
31.3%3.3%4.1%3.3%2.0%1.0%
40.6%1.4%1.7%1.4%0.9%0.4%
50.2%0.5%0.6%0.5%0.3%0.1%

Most likely: 2–1 (8.4%)

Manchester City FC (Home)

WWWWWW
Avg scored (home)3.18
Avg conceded (home)1.86
Avg scored (away)2.59
Avg conceded (away)0.23

Manchester United FC (Away)

WDLDDD
Avg scored (home)1.61
Avg conceded (home)1.23
Avg scored (away)1.23
Avg conceded (away)1.23

Head to Head

Manchester City FC3 – 014 Sept 25
Manchester United FC2 – 017 Jan 26
Manchester United FC0 – 113 Sept 26
Home
Post-Mortems
Accuracy