Nottingham Forest FC
vs AFC Bournemouth

Premier LeagueMatchday 38Sunday, 24 May 2026 · 16:00 GMT

Win Probability

6%

Nottingham Forest FC Win

67%

Draw

28%

AFC Bournemouth Win

verifiedHigh Confidence

form_consistency: 0.419 · h2h_availability: 0.2 · archetype_penalty: 0 · data_completeness: 1

Expected Goals (xG)

Nottingham Forest FC0.086
AFC Bournemouth0.351
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The predicted outcome of the match between Nottingham Forest FC and AFC Bournemouth is a draw. The most compelling evidence for this prediction is the draw win probability, which stands at 66.6%. This significant percentage suggests that the match is likely to end without a clear winner, with both teams having a relatively balanced chance of earning a point.

Despite the strong likelihood of a draw, one data point that introduces some uncertainty is the expected goals (xG) gap between the two teams. AFC Bournemouth has a notably higher xG of 0.351 compared to Nottingham Forest FC's 0.086. This discrepancy could potentially translate into a higher scoring chance for AFC Bournemouth, which might challenge the predicted draw outcome. However, considering the overall win probabilities, the match still appears poised to end in a stalemate.

Nottingham Forest FC (Home)

LLDDWD
Avg scored (home)0.33
Avg conceded (home)0.67
Avg scored (away)2.00
Avg conceded (away)1.33

AFC Bournemouth (Away)

DDDDDW
Avg scored (home)1.00
Avg conceded (home)1.00
Avg scored (away)0.67
Avg conceded (away)0.33

Head to Head

AFC Bournemouth2026 Oct 25

Predictions computed using a Poisson distribution model. Data updated nightly. Not gambling advice.

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