Crystal Palace FC
vs West Ham United FC

Premier LeagueMatchday 33Monday, 20 April 2026 · 20:00 GMT

Win Probability

70%

Crystal Palace FC Win

18%

Draw

12%

West Ham United FC Win

infoMid Confidence

form_consistency: 0.061 · h2h_availability: 0.2 · archetype_penalty: 0 · data_completeness: 1

Expected Goals (xG)

Crystal Palace FC2.258
West Ham United FC0.789
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The predicted outcome of this match is a Crystal Palace FC win, with the most compelling evidence being the significant gap in expected goals, where Crystal Palace FC has an xG of 2.258 compared to West Ham United FC's 0.789. This substantial difference in xG suggests that Crystal Palace FC is likely to create more scoring opportunities, which in turn supports their higher win probability. With a 70.4% chance of winning, the numbers clearly favor the home team.

Despite the strong predicted outcome in favor of Crystal Palace FC, one data point that introduces some uncertainty is West Ham United FC's ability to score on the road, as evidenced by their away average of 1.0 goal scored. This suggests that they are capable of finding the back of the net even in hostile environments, which could potentially disrupt Crystal Palace FC's plans if they are not vigilant in defense. However, considering Crystal Palace FC's home average of 1.0 goal conceded, it seems they have a solid defensive foundation to mitigate this threat.

Crystal Palace FC (Home)

LWLWDW
Avg scored (home)1.25
Avg conceded (home)1.00
Avg scored (away)2.00
Avg conceded (away)1.50

West Ham United FC (Away)

DLWDLW
Avg scored (home)1.67
Avg conceded (home)0.33
Avg scored (away)1.00
Avg conceded (away)2.33

Head to Head

West Ham United FC1220 Sept 25

Predictions computed using a Poisson distribution model. Data updated nightly. Not gambling advice.

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