Chelsea FC
vs Aston Villa FC
PLMatchday 16Saturday, 19 December 2026 · 15:00 GMT
Win Probability
16%
Chelsea FC Win
22%
Draw
61%
Aston Villa FC Win
infoSlight Edge
form_consistency: 0.09 · h2h_availability: 0.4 · archetype_penalty: 0 · data_completeness: 1
Expected Goals (xG)
Chelsea FC1.045
Aston Villa FC2.156
Scoreline Probabilities
| Chelsea FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aston Villa FC | 0 | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 10.6% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.7% | 10.1% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.0% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Most likely: 1–1 (10.6%)
Chelsea FC (Home)
LLLDWL
Avg scored (home)1.21
Avg conceded (home)1.64
Avg scored (away)0.77
Avg conceded (away)1.91
Aston Villa FC (Away)
WLLDWW
Avg scored (home)3.03
Avg conceded (home)2.23
Avg scored (away)1.53
Avg conceded (away)1.32
Head to Head
Chelsea FC1 – 227 Dec 25
Aston Villa FC1 – 44 Mar 26