Chelsea FC
vs Aston Villa FC
PLMatchday 16Saturday, 19 December 2026 · 15:00 GMT
Win Probability
58%
Chelsea FC Win
20%
Draw
22%
Aston Villa FC Win
infoSlight Edge
form_consistency: 0.061 · h2h_availability: 0.4 · archetype_penalty: 0 · data_completeness: 1
Expected Goals (xG)
Chelsea FC2.662
Aston Villa FC1.646
Scoreline Probabilities
| Chelsea FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aston Villa FC | 0 | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| 1 | 1.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
Most likely: 2–1 (8.4%)
Chelsea FC (Home)
LDWLWW
Avg scored (home)2.76
Avg conceded (home)2.40
Avg scored (away)1.81
Avg conceded (away)1.75
Aston Villa FC (Away)
DWWLLD
Avg scored (home)1.52
Avg conceded (home)1.38
Avg scored (away)0.76
Avg conceded (away)1.58
Head to Head
Chelsea FC1 – 227 Dec 25
Aston Villa FC1 – 44 Mar 26