Brentford FC
vs Tottenham Hotspur FC

PLMatchday 1Saturday, 22 August 2026 · 17:30 GMT

Win Probability

47%

Brentford FC Win

31%

Draw

22%

Tottenham Hotspur FC Win

infoSlight Edge
Early Season

form_consistency: 0.215 · h2h_availability: 0.4 · archetype_penalty: 0.2 · data_completeness: 1

Expected Goals (xG)

Brentford FC1.376
Tottenham Hotspur FC0.858

Scoreline Probabilities

Brentford FC
012345
Tottenham Hotspur FC012.4%13.1%10.2%4.7%1.6%0.4%
17.6%14.3%8.7%4.0%1.4%0.4%
24.0%5.4%3.7%1.7%0.6%0.2%
31.1%1.6%1.1%0.5%0.2%0.0%
40.2%0.3%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%
50.0%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Most likely: 11 (14.3%)

format_quote

Brentford FC's expected goals advantage at home, 1.376 to 0.858, suggests a strong attacking balance, which could prove decisive in this match. They have also shown a high scoring rate at home, with an average of 1.857 goals per game, indicating that their attacking prowess is likely to be a key factor in their predicted win. Meanwhile, Tottenham Hotspur FC's away form has been inconsistent, with an average of 1.309 goals scored and 1.165 conceded, but this still falls short of Brentford FC's home scoring rates.

The uncertainty in this match comes from Tottenham Hotspur FC's ability to bounce back from a dip in form, having won 3 out of their last 6 matches. However, their away defensive solidity has been inconsistent, and a leaky away defence could prove costly against an in-form Brentford FC side, especially at their home ground. This could be the decisive factor in Brentford FC's predicted win, as their home advantage and attacking prowess may be too much for Tottenham Hotspur FC to overcome.

Brentford FC (Home)

DLWLDD
Avg scored (home)1.86
Avg conceded (home)0.89
Avg scored (away)0.68
Avg conceded (away)1.88

Tottenham Hotspur FC (Away)

DWWDLW
Avg scored (home)1.20
Avg conceded (home)0.74
Avg scored (away)1.31
Avg conceded (away)1.17

Head to Head

Tottenham Hotspur FC206 Dec 25
Brentford FC001 Jan 26
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