Nottingham Forest FC
vs Newcastle United FC

Premier LeagueMatchday 36Sunday, 10 May 2026 · 14:00 GMT

Win Probability

19%

Nottingham Forest FC Win

50%

Draw

31%

Newcastle United FC Win

infoMid Confidence

form_consistency: 0.124 · h2h_availability: 0.2 · archetype_penalty: 0 · data_completeness: 1

Expected Goals (xG)

Nottingham Forest FC0.344
Newcastle United FC0.526
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The predicted outcome of the match between Nottingham Forest FC and Newcastle United FC is a draw, with the draw probability standing at 49.8%. This outcome is supported by the relatively balanced expected goals (xG) values, where Newcastle United FC has a slight edge with 0.526 xG compared to Nottingham Forest FC's 0.344 xG, but not significant enough to sway the outcome decisively in their favor.

Despite the draw prediction, one data point that introduces uncertainty is Newcastle United FC's away average scored of 1.0 goal, which is higher than Nottingham Forest FC's home average conceded of 0.667 goals. This suggests that Newcastle United FC has the potential to capitalize on scoring opportunities away from home, which could potentially disrupt the predicted draw outcome if they can maintain their away scoring form and exploit any defensive vulnerabilities of Nottingham Forest FC.

Nottingham Forest FC (Home)

LLDDWD
Avg scored (home)0.33
Avg conceded (home)0.67
Avg scored (away)2.00
Avg conceded (away)1.33

Newcastle United FC (Away)

LLWWLL
Avg scored (home)1.67
Avg conceded (home)2.00
Avg scored (away)1.00
Avg conceded (away)1.33

Head to Head

Newcastle United FC205 Oct 25

Predictions computed using a Poisson distribution model. Data updated nightly. Not gambling advice.

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