Everton FC
vs Crystal Palace FC
Win Probability
Everton FC Win
Draw
Crystal Palace FC Win
form_consistency: 0.484 · h2h_availability: 0.4 · archetype_penalty: 0.2 · data_completeness: 1
Expected Goals (xG)
Scoreline Probabilities
| Everton FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Crystal Palace FC | 0 | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 1.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% | |
| 2 | 1.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | |
Most likely: 2–1 (7.5%)
Everton FC's expected goals at home, 2.783, significantly outpace Crystal Palace FC's away expected goals, 1.869. This xG gap suggests a substantial attacking advantage for the home team. Everton FC's home form, where they average 1.644 goals scored and 2.767 conceded in their last six matches, indicates a strong attacking presence, particularly considering their average goal tally at home is higher than their away tally. Conversely, Crystal Palace FC's away form shows them averaging just 0.845 goals scored and 2.665 conceded in their last six matches, hinting at their vulnerability on the road.
While Crystal Palace FC has shown resilience in their away form, their inability to score consistently at this level raises concerns, especially given their recent form. However, Everton FC's own form has been inconsistent of late, with a dip in defensive solidity, conceding an average of 2.767 goals at home in their last six matches. This uncertainty could potentially swing the outcome in Crystal Palace FC's favor.