Manchester City FC
vs AFC Bournemouth

PLMatchday 1Sunday, 23 August 2026 · 14:00 GMT

Win Probability

37%

Manchester City FC Win

35%

Draw

28%

AFC Bournemouth Win

infoSlight Edge
Early Season

form_consistency: 0.318 · h2h_availability: 0.4 · archetype_penalty: 0.2 · data_completeness: 1

Expected Goals (xG)

Manchester City FC1.043
AFC Bournemouth0.858

Scoreline Probabilities

Manchester City FC
012345
AFC Bournemouth016.7%13.9%8.1%2.8%0.7%0.2%
111.1%15.1%7.0%2.4%0.6%0.1%
25.5%5.7%3.0%1.0%0.3%0.1%
31.6%1.6%0.9%0.3%0.1%0.0%
40.3%0.4%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%
50.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Most likely: 00 (16.7%)

format_quote

Manchester City FC's home form suggests they will emerge victorious, with an average of 2.14 goals scored and 0.86 conceded in their last six matches at this venue. Their expected goals (xG) of 1.043 also indicates a strong attacking presence, which could prove decisive against AFC Bournemouth. The away side's xG of 0.858 suggests they may struggle to match Manchester City FC's firepower.

While Manchester City FC's home form is impressive, it's worth noting that AFC Bournemouth's away defense has been relatively solid, conceding an average of 0.67 goals per match in their last six results on the road. However, the Bournemouth side has also struggled to score consistently away from home, averaging just 1.21 goals per match. Given Manchester City FC's home advantage and their strong attacking numbers, they are likely to take this match.

Manchester City FC (Home)

WDWWDL
Avg scored (home)2.14
Avg conceded (home)0.86
Avg scored (away)1.57
Avg conceded (away)1.33

AFC Bournemouth (Away)

WDWWDD
Avg scored (home)1.88
Avg conceded (home)0.95
Avg scored (away)1.20
Avg conceded (away)0.67

Head to Head

Manchester City FC312 Nov 25
AFC Bournemouth1119 May 26
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