Manchester City FC
vs Chelsea FC

PLMatchday 15Saturday, 12 December 2026 · 17:30 GMT

Win Probability

57%

Manchester City FC Win

20%

Draw

23%

Chelsea FC Win

verifiedStrong Edge

form_consistency: 0.508 · h2h_availability: 0.4 · archetype_penalty: 0 · data_completeness: 1

Expected Goals (xG)

Manchester City FC2.708
Chelsea FC1.722

Scoreline Probabilities

Manchester City FC
012345
Chelsea FC02.0%2.7%4.7%4.2%2.9%1.5%
11.4%6.7%8.0%7.3%4.9%2.7%
21.9%5.1%6.9%6.3%4.2%2.3%
31.1%2.9%4.0%3.6%2.4%1.3%
40.5%1.3%1.7%1.5%1.0%0.6%
50.2%0.4%0.6%0.5%0.4%0.2%

Most likely: 2–1 (8.0%)

Manchester City FC (Home)

WWWWWW
Avg scored (home)3.18
Avg conceded (home)1.86
Avg scored (away)2.59
Avg conceded (away)0.23

Chelsea FC (Away)

WLDLWW
Avg scored (home)3.80
Avg conceded (home)1.79
Avg scored (away)1.12
Avg conceded (away)1.43

Head to Head

Manchester City FC1 – 14 Jan 26
Chelsea FC0 – 312 Apr 26
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